WCOOP: 9 days to go. 9 predictions.

Nine days until I'll be losing A LOT of sleep for three whole weeks. I'll also have an amazing amount of fun (together with the proper dozes of heartbreaks) and hopefully some decent paychecks. And since this waiting game sucks, I'm gonna look into the crystal ball and predict my results:

* I'll somehow cash more PLO events than NLH despite playing 6 PLO and 12 NLH;

* I'll definitely definitely DEFINITELY make money in 8-game;

* I'm hopeless in NLH fullring freezeouts so I expect to cash no more than 1 of the 4 that I'm playing, very likely zero. In this case plssssss be the $1050;

* In contrary PLO 6-max is where I put my head down and get to work, I expect to cash 2 of the 3 that I'm playing;

* Historically I run extremely bad in Round 1 of HU events, so I'll go deeep if I make it past Round 1 in Event 38 and 58;

* There will be overlay in at least 1 event I'm playing;

* I'll end up not playing 5 of the 20 events;

* I'll also end up playing 1-2 events which aren't on the list, most likely to be the Main Event (duh);

* And err 1 final table. pls?

WCOOP 2011 - Events which I'll play (version 1.1)

I'm using this post to host a list of WCOOP Events that I expect myself to play this year. This is obviously mainly for guys who might buy my action. This list is bound to change over the course of now until the start of the first WCOOP event, and since I have no better way to keep track of said changes, I'll use the most geeky way, versions and changelog.

Consider this initial list version 1.0:

Event # Date Day Time (ET) Name Buy-In Fee Guarantee

*1 04-Sep Sun 10:00 $215 NL Hold'em [6-Max] $200 $15 $1,000,000

4 05-Sep Mon 11:00 $320 PL Omaha $300 $20 $300,000

*10 07-Sep Wed 06:00 $265 PL Omaha [Knockout] $250 $15 $225,000

14 08-Sep Thu 11:00 $265 NL Hold'em [6-Max, Knockout] $250 $15 $500,000

*16 09-Sep Fri 11:00 $215 PL Omaha [6-Max] $200 $15 $250,000

*19 10-Sep Sat 10:00 $109 NL Hold'em $100 $9 $800,000

*21 11-Sep Sun 10:00 $215 NL Hold'em $200 $15 $1,250,000

*23 12-Sep Mon 11:00 $215 NL Hold'em [4-Max] $200 $15 $500,000

28 13-Sep Tue 17:00 $1,050 NL Hold'em $1,000 $50 $600,000

31 14-Sep Wed 14:00 $320 8-Game $300 $20 $100,000

32 15-Sep Thu 06:00 $320 NL Hold'em [6-Max] $300 $20 $350,000

33 15-Sep Thu 11:00 $320 PL Omaha [6-Max, 1R1A] $300 $20 $300,000

*35 16-Sep Fri 11:00 $215+R NL Hold'em $200 $15 $550,000

38 17-Sep Sat 10:00 $530 NL Hold'em [Heads-Up] $500 $30 $350,000

*40 18-Sep Sun 10:00 $215 NL Hold'em $200 $15 $1,000,000

43 19-Sep Mon 11:00 $320+R PL Omaha [6-Max] $300 $20 $350,000

46 20-Sep Tue 11:00 $320 Mixed PL Hold'em/Omaha $300 $20 $225,000

49 21-Sep Wed 06:00 $215 NL Hold'em [1R1A] $200 $15 $400,000

*58 24-Sep Sat 10:00 $530 PL Omaha [Heads-Up] $500 $30 $125,000

60 25-Sep Sun 10:00 $215 NL Hold'em $200 $15 $1,250,000

That's a total of 20 events (!) and total maximum damage is $9,400. (this is assuming a max of 4BI in the $215+R NLH and 7BI in the $320+R PLO.) Any event that I end up not playing will be refunded as part of the final payout.

I also have a plan to blog each event into a separate post. But it's a plan that'll be hard to stick to after the fifth event. We shall see.

Changelog

V1.1: Correction: the total amount should be $9,400 not $8,800.

WCOOP 2010 Round Up

I've just busted out of my last WCOOP event (Event #58: $530 PLO HU), and it's time to do a round up on my results this season.

In contrary to FTOPS, I actually stuck to my original plan. Here're the events I played and the respective results:

Event 10: Sept 8 12:00pm: $265 PLO Knock-Out Cash: $0
Event 16: Sept 10 2:00pm: $215 PLO 6-max Cash: $1750, Placed: 31st of 2154
Event 19: Sept 11 1:00pm: $109 NLH (10-min levels) Cash: $0

Event 29: Sept 15 12:00pm: $265 NLO8 Knock-Out Cash: $100 (2 Knock-outs)
Event 38: Sept 18 1:00pm: $530 NLH Heads-Up Cash: $0
Event 40: Sept 18 5:00pm: $530 HORSE Cash: $0

Event 49: Sept 22 12:00pm: $215+1R1A NLH Cash: $1281, Placed 103rd of 1654 (didn't rebuy nor add-on)
Event 58: Sept 25 1:00pm: $530 PLO Heads-Up (2 days) Cash: $0

So overall I spent $2659 and cashed $3131 for a net win of slightly under $500. Obviously I can't call this result satisfying but hey, at least I didn't lose money.

In terms of overall gameplay, I feel that I'm playing better than before and am definitely more comfortable in deep(er) stack play. On individual events, my impressions of my play and the game:

Event 10: Sept 8 12:00pm: $265 PLO Knock-Out: I failed to build a stack early on so the Knock-Out worked to my disadvantage. I busted in the 2nd hour. In general I sucked.

Event 16: Sept 10 2:00pm: $215 PLO 6-max: I went deep on this one just not deep enough. Played for 11 hours before cashing 31st of 2154. During hour 6-8, I was in contention within top10 in chips, and saw real hopes in getting to that final table. In general I played well and was able to hold up to the length of the tournament.

Event 19: Sept 11 1:00pm: $109 NLH (10-min levels): No idea why I even bothered with this one after spending the previous night without sleep grinding Event 16. Spewed and gambled when I should be in bed catching up on sleep. Superfail.

Event 29: Sept 15 12:00pm: $265 NLO8 Knock-Out: This isn't in the plan and I impulse-signed-up. I'm a bad hi/lo player and I in general have no fucking clue about NLO8. The game itself is actually a lot more solid than the name suggests and it's not all shovegamble. I knocked out 2 guys to reduce damage to $165. Also learned that 12am starts on weekdays are vbad.

Event 38: Sept 18 1:00pm: $530 NLH Heads-Up: Round 1 exit. Ran top pair top kicker into middle set. Easy game.

Event 40: Sept 18 5:00pm: $530 HORSE: Didn't do well in this one. Somehow got scooped while holding a 7low and a Q high flush in Stud8. Maybe it's me or maybe the fucking cards just weren't working.

Event 49: Sept 22 12:00pm: $215+1R1A NLH: This is a fun one. I built nicely in the first 2 hours so didn't rebuy/addon. Game turns into deepstack tournament after rebuy is over and it's super fun to 5bet bluff ppl off hands. I was in top10 chips a few moments here and there but eventually busted. Exhaustion mattered a bit on this one.

Event 58: Sept 25 1:00pm: $530 PLO Heads-Up (2 days): Another round 1 exit! Basically got chips in on the turn holding the nut straight and idiot tankcalls with a nut flush draw. He hits naturally. FML.

WCOOP

FTOPS recap: I didn't play any event I planned to play, but I did play the $535 HORSE and the $109+R PLO. In HORSE I never got it going and went out when I got scooped in Stud8 holding an ace-high flush and a 7 low in a 3-way pot. (yes I know how the fuck did that happen right?) In the PLO I kinda sorta bubbled (101th, pays top 90). But as they say, you can't be afraid of bubbling if you wanna win the big monies.

WCOOP: Here's my plan. Seeing what happened to my FTOPS plan I wouldn't put too much faith on me actually following it. But here it is anyways:

Event 10: Sept 8 12:00pm: $265 PLO Knock-Out
Event 16: Sept 10 2:00pm: $215 PLO 6-max
Event 19: Sept 11 1:00pm: $109 NLH (10-min levels)
Event 32: Sept 16 12:00pm: $320 NLH 6-max
Event 35: Sept 17 2:00pm: $215+R NLH
Event 38: Sept 18 1:00pm: $530 NLH Heads-Up
Event 40: Sept 18 5:00pm: $530 HORSE
Event 41: Sept 19 1:00pm: $215 NLH
Event 49: Sept 22 12:00pm: $215+1R1A NLH
Event 58: Sept 25 1:00pm: $530 PLO Heads-Up (2 days)

So to play all of the above I'll need roughly $4000. Still cheaper than an APPT event! lol.